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Friday, May 20, 2022

Duke vs North Carolina NCAA Tournament Final Four Betting Preview: Point Spread, Moneylines

A Final Four matchup features the No. 2 seed Duke Blue Devils (32-6, 16-4 ACC) and the No. 8 seed North Carolina Tar Heels (28-9, 15-5 ACC) playing with a spot in the National Championship Game up for grabs on Saturday at Caesars Superdome. Duke is a 4.5-point favorite in the NCAA Tournament contest, which starts at 8:49 PM on TBS.

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Duke vs. North Carolina Game Time and Odds

  • Game Day: Saturday, April 2, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:49 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TBS
  • Location: New Orleans, Louisiana
  • Arena: Caesars Superdome
  • Moneyline favorite: Duke (-204)
  • Spread: Duke (-4.5)
  • Total: 151

Duke Betting Stats and Trends

  • Duke has covered the spread 22 times this season (22-17-1).
  • In games they were favored in by 4.5 points or more so far this season, the Blue Devils have gone 17-16-1 against the spread.
  • Duke’s games have gone over the total 23 times out of 40 chances this season.
  • Duke’s games have had more than 151 points scored on 16 occasions this season.
  • The over/under for this game is 151 points, 5.5 more than the average point total for Blue Devils games this season.
  • The Blue Devils record 80.1 points per game, nine more points than the 71.1 the Tar Heels give up.
  • When Duke puts up more than 71.1 points, it is 17-6-1 against the spread and 21-3 overall.
  • The Blue Devils make 49.3% of their shots from the field this season, which is 6.8 percentage points higher than the Tar Heels have allowed to their opponents (42.5%).
  • Duke is 17-9-1 against the spread and 24-3 overall when it shoots higher than 42.5% from the field.

North Carolina Betting Stats and Trends

  • North Carolina is 22-16-1 against the spread this year.
  • The Tar Heels are 4-1 ATS when playing as at least 4.5-point underdogs.
  • This year, North Carolina’s games have hit the over 22 times out of 39 chances.
  • North Carolina’s games have gone over 151 points on 20 occasions this year.
  • Games involving the Tar Heels this year have averaged 147.1 points per game, a 3.9-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.
  • The Tar Heels put up an average of 78.1 points per game, 10.7 more points than the 67.4 the Blue Devils allow.
  • North Carolina has put together a 14-10-1 ATS record and a 21-5 overall record in games it scores more than 67.4 points.
  • The Tar Heels have shot at a 45.2% rate from the field this season, 3.5 percentage points greater than the 41.7% shooting opponents of the Blue Devils have averaged.
  • This season, North Carolina has a 13-7-1 record against the spread and a 19-3 record overall in games the team collectively shoots better than 41.7% from the field.

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Duke vs. North Carolina Statistics and Rankings

Duke Rank Duke Stat North Carolina Stat North Carolina Rank
8th 80.1 Points Scored 78.1 28th
128th 67.4 Points Allowed 71.1 236th
10th 16.5 Assists 15.3 37th
320th 10.1 Turnovers 11.2 256th
4th 49.3% Field Goal % 45.2% 107th
90th 41.7% Field Goal % Allowed 42.5% 137th

Duke vs. North Carolina Recent Trends


  • Duke covered the spread four times in its last 10 matchups while putting up a 8-2 record straight-up in those games.
  • Duke’s last 10 games saw eight hit the over.
  • The Blue Devils’ last 10 outings have ended with an average of 145.4 points scored. That’s 5.6 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
  • Over the past 10 games, the Blue Devils are scoring 0.7 points more per game compared to their season average.

North Carolina

  • North Carolina covered the spread nine times in its past 10 matchups while putting up a 9-1 record straight-up in those games.
  • North Carolina and its opponents have hit the over in five of the past 10 games.
  • The Tar Heels’ last 10 outings have ended with an average of 144.2 points scored. That’s 6.8 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
  • The Tar Heels’ per-game scoring average across their past 10 games is 79, 0.9 points higher than their season-long per-game average.

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