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Wednesday, February 1, 2023

Miami Dolphins vs New Orleans Saints Betting Preview: Point Spread, Moneylines, Over/Under | Week 16

The Miami Dolphins (7-7) are slight favorites (-2.5) over the New Orleans Saints (7-7). The Dolphins have taken six games straight. The game has an over/under of 37.5 points.

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Dolphins vs. Saints Game Time and Odds

  • Game Day: Monday, December 27, 2021
  • Game Time: 8:15 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: New Orleans, Louisiana
  • Stadium: Caesars Superdome
  • Moneyline favorite: Dolphins (-142)
  • Spread: Dolphins (-2.5)
  • Total: 37.5

Over/Under Betting Stats

  • Miami’s games this season have gone over 37.5 points eight of 14 times.
  • New Orleans’ games have gone over 37.5 points in 10 of 14 chances this season.
  • Monday’s total is 5.3 points lower than the two team’s combined 42.8 points per game average.
  • These two squads surrender a combined 42.7 points per game, 5.2 more than this contest’s over/under.
  • The average total in Dolphins games this season is 44.9, 7.4 points above Monday’s total of 37.5.
  • The 37.5-point over/under for this game is 6.8 points below the 44.3 points per game average total in Saints games this season.
  • Miami is 7-6-1 against the spread this season.
  • So far this season, the Dolphins have been installed as favorites by a 2.5-point margin or more six times and are 3-3 ATS in those games.
  • The Dolphins have been the moneyline favorite six total times this season. They’ve finished 4-2 in those games.
  • Miami has a record of 4-2 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -142 or shorter (66.7%).
  • Miami’s games this year have gone over the total in six out of 14 opportunities (42.9%).
  • The Saints’ defense has allowed an average of 336.9 yards per game in 2021, a total of 22.2 yards more than the 314.7 the Dolphins’ offense has averaged. The Dolphins pick up 5.1 yards per play and the Saints give up 5.5.
  • Miami’s record when it accumulates over New Orleans’ season average in yards allowed (336.9): 3-2 overall, 2-3 ATS.
  • This season the Saints have forced 19 turnovers, compared to the 23 times the Dolphins have turned the ball over.
  • Against the spread, New Orleans is 7-7-0 this year.
  • The Saints are 5-3 ATS when underdogs by 2.5 points or more this year.
  • This season, the Saints have been the underdog eight times and won four of those games.
  • New Orleans has a record of 4-4 when they’re set as an underdog of +119 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • New Orleans’ games this year have gone over the total in six out of 14 opportunities (42.9%).
  • The Dolphins’ defense has given up 349.1 yards per game in 2021, 37.4 yards more than the 311.7 the Saints’ offense has averaged. The Saints pick up 5.2 yards per play and the Dolphins give up 5.7.
  • When the New Orleans offense puts together a game with more than Miami’s 2021 average in yardage allowed (349.1 per game), it is 2-4 overall and 3-3 against the spread.
  • The Saints have turned the ball over 16 times this season, while the Dolphins have 21 takeaways.

Dolphins vs. Saints Stats Comparison

Dolphins Saints
Off. Yards Avg. (Rank) 314.7 (23) 311.7 (26)
Def. Yards Avg. (Rank) 349.1 (17) 336.9 (11)
Rush Yards Avg. (Rank) 86.6 (28) 117.1 (15)
Pass Yards Avg. (Rank) 244.6 (16) 207.3 (31)
Turnovers (Rank) 23 (26) 16 (9)
Takeaways (Rank) 21 (9) 19 (15)

Miami Dolphins

  • Miami has covered the spread twice, and is 3-0 overall, in its past three games.
  • In Miami’s past three games, it has hit the over twice.
  • The Dolphins have averaged a total of 41.0 combined points in their last three games, 3.5 greater than this matchup’s over/under of 37.5.

New Orleans Saints

  • New Orleans has covered the spread twice, and is 2-1 overall, in its last three contests.
  • In its past three contests, New Orleans has not hit the over.
  • The Saints and their opponents have combined to score an average of 44.3 combined points over their last three games, 6.8 more than the 37.5 over/under in this matchup.

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