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Win-Loss 2023 NFL Season Predictions
Now that the 2023 NFL schedule has been released, excitement for the upcoming NFL season is beginning to build. We know the matchups. We know the bye weeks. We know that everything opens up on Thursday, September 7th when the Kansas City Chiefs host the Detroit Lions.
The only thing we don’t know: who’ll win each game.
Ahead of the 2023 NFL season, let’s look at what to expect from each of the league’s 32 teams. What will each team’s record look like when the season comes to a close?
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Every NFL Team Win-Loss Predictions
We’ve gone through the 2023 NFL schedule and have picked every game of the regular season. Below, you’ll find the predicted win/loss records for every NFL team based on those picks.
Arizona Cardinals
3-14
With Kyler Murray expected to miss a big part of the season, the Cardinals are expected to start Colt McCoy for an extended period. While the addition of left guard Paris Johnson Jr. in the first round helps shore up a weakness on the offensive line, this team might have bigger concerns than its offense, as the defense allowed the second-most points in the NFL last season.
Atlanta Falcons
3-14
It’s hard to see many teams with a lower floor than the Falcons. The offense played well last season, but a lot of that was because Marcus Mariota was under center. The team is expected to go with Desmond Ridder on a full-time basis this season, and with Mack Hollins and Scotty Miller as the No. 2 and No. 3 wide receivers, this offense could be one of the league’s worst, even with rookie running back Bijan Robinson. On defense, the Falcons allowed the sixth-most yards last season and didn’t devote any pick higher than a third-rounder on that side of the ball.
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Baltimore Ravens
11-6
With Lamar Jackson’s contract extended and the addition of Odell Beckham Jr. and first-round pick Zay Flowers, the Ravens offense should soar this season, especially with Todd Monken taking over as offensive coordinator. On the defensive end, the Ravens allowed the third-fewest points per game last season and should continue to excel behind the linebacker duo of Patrick Queen and Roquan Smith.
Buffalo Bills
14-3
As long as the Bills have Josh Allen, they’ll be contenders in the NFL. The addition of Damien Harris gives a boost to the run game, and first-round pick Dalton Kincaid gives the Bills two strong tight ends. Road games against the Bengals, Eagles and Chiefs will be tough, but the Bills have the talent to beat any team.
Carolina Panthers
8-9
In a weak NFC South, the Panthers can definitely make a run at the division title if No. 1 overall pick Bryce Young is able to pick up the NFL game quickly. By adding DJ Chark, Adam Thielen, Hayden Hurst and Miles Sanders in the offseason, the Panthers have created good conditions for Young to find early success. Adding defensive tackle DeShawn Williams and safety Vonn Bell helps shore up some issues on defense.
Chicago Bears
9-8
Last season, Justin Fields showed why he’s a top QB in fantasy football. Is this the year he shows why that’s true in real-life football as well? The Bears only finished fifth in the NFL in total yards, but part of that was because they had a weak wide receiving corps. The addition of DJ Moore should change that. Defensively, the Bears struggled as well, allowing the fourth-most yards, but the team added some good depth on that side with players like DT Andrew Billings, DE DeMarcus Walker, LB Tremaine Edmunds and LB TJ Edwards.
Cincinnati Bengals
13-4
The Bengals return their top three receivers and Joe Mixon, plus added the talented Irv Smith Jr. in free agency. Defensively, they allowed the fifth-fewest points last season. There’s no reason to think this team will fall off its perch at the top of the AFC North, even though the Ravens will be strong challengers.
Cleveland Browns
7-10
Will the Browns really not improve on last year’s record with a full season of Deshaun Watson? Maybe not. Watson looked rusty last season, completing just 58.2% of his passes and throwing five picks in six starts. There’s talent here, but the AFC North is tough and Cleveland has some difficult games on its schedule.
Dallas Cowboys
12-5
Last season, the Cowboys won 12 games for the second year in a row, but “Da Boys” drought of NFC title game appearances continued, as they last got that far in 1995, the last time the Cowboys won the Super Bowl. Their window remains open heading into 2023 though, and the addition of Brandin Cooks gives Dallas one of the league’s best pass-catching units. Can Dak Prescott get it done finally? And can a talented defense continue to put things together after a second year in a row ranking in the top 10 in fewest points allowed?
Denver Broncos
8-9
The first year of the Russell Wilson era in Denver ended with a 5-12 record, marking the sixth season in a row that the team finished under .500. There should be some improvement in 2023, but concerns about Wilson remain after he led the offense to a league-worst finish in scoring in 2022. Combine that with a tough schedule and the first season for Sean Payton won’t end with the Broncos in the postseason, but improving by three wins would still be a good momentum builder going into 2024.
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Detroit Lions
11-6
Everyone seems to think the Lions will be the breakout team of 2023 and we tend to agree. Jared Goff looked resurgent last season, leading the Lions to their first finish over .500 since 2017, and the return of Marvin Jones Jr. and the drafting of Iowa tight end Sam LaPorta gives him some extra weapons. The team also has one of the league’s most interesting running back situations, with David Montgomery and first-round pick Jahmyr Gibbs toting the rock.
Green Bay Packers
3-14
The Packers had an unbroken string of success during the switch from Brett Favre to Aaron Rodgers, but don’t expect the same thing with Jordan Love under center, and it’s not necessarily Love’s fault. The receiving corps is really young in Green Bay, and the team used its first-round pick on a linebacker instead of adding weapons for Love. Even with Rodgers, this offense ranked just 17th in passing yards last year. The defense was middle of the pack and likely won’t improve too much, especially because the change at QB likely means fewer sustained offensive drives, putting the defense in a more vulnerable position.
Houston Texans
4-13
After drafting quarterback CJ Stroud and trading up for defender Will Anderson, the Texans finally have some direction, something that’s been missing over the past two seasons. And the front office has brought in some talented veterans to fill the gaps in the roster. But the Texans still have a long way to go before they’re playoff contenders, so expect 2023 to be a rough year for the franchise.
Indianapolis Colts
6-11
The Colts drafted Anthony Richardson in the first round, but they’ll likely start Gardner Minshew for much of the season. There are talented players up and down this roster, and Minshew’s a solid passer, even if he’s not going to lead a team to the postseason. The Colts have a chance to contend for second place in the AFC South this season.
Jacksonville Jaguars
11-6
The Jaguars are the clear AFC South favorites. Trevor Lawrence took a big step forward last season and looks like he’s heading for a breakout season, and the addition of Calvin Ridley gives the Jags a strong receiving unit. If the defense—which gave up the ninth-most yards in the NFL last year—can improve just a little, the Jaguars will give double-digit games in 2023.
Kansas City Chiefs
14-3
The defending Super Bowl champions remain one of the favorites heading into 2023. While the wide receiver situation remains unsettled, the presence of quarterback Patrick Mahomes ensures that the team will be able to win games no matter who the pass catchers are, especially since tight end Travis Kelce is still the league’s best player at the position. On defense, the team has talent and added defensive end Felix Anudike-Uzomah in the first round.
Las Vegas Raiders
4-13
The Raiders went 6-11 last season with Derek Carr and Jarrett Stidham under center. They acquired Jimmy Garoppolo this offseason, but we don’t see that turning this team around. Denver should be better this season, putting the Raiders in a hole as they’ll be the fourth-best team in their division. There are some talented pieces like 2023 first-round pick Tyree Wilson, but overall this Raiders roster just isn’t built to contend, and Garoppolo is a QB who needs a better roster than this to win.
Los Angeles Chargers
11-6
The Chargers are poised to have their best season of the Justin Herbert era in 2023. The addition of TCU receiver Quentin Johnston in the first round makes this one of the league’s most terrifying offenses on paper, and the defense should take a step forward after signing linebacker Eric Kendricks and drafting Tuli Tuipulotu and Daiyan Henley.
Los Angeles Rams
8-9
The Rams won the Super Bowl in 2021, but plummeted to 5-12 last season, with Matthew Stafford starting just nine games. The Rams should improve this season, but there are still a lot of question marks. Cooper Kupp’s an elite receiver, but there’s not a lot of proven talent behind him. Cam Akers is a good running back, but injuries have impacted his career. The defense struggled last season as well, ranking 19th in yards allowed and 21st in points allowed.
Miami Dolphins
7-10
Last year was a relatively successful one for the Dolphins, who went 9-8. But next year’s team didn’t do much to upgrade aside from adding backup quarterback Mike White, and the Dolphins face a lot of tough road games: Chargers, Eagles, Chiefs, Ravens. It makes sense to see some regression out of this team.
Minnesota Vikings
11-6
Last season was the best year of the Kirk Cousins era in Minnesota, as the Vikings won 13 games, their most since 2017. While we don’t expect a repeat of that in 2023, this team has the talent to win double-digit games in consecutive years for the first time since 2008 and 2009. Justin Jefferson should continue to make a strong case that he’s the NFL’s best wide receiver, but struggles on defense will likely continue to hurt the team. They allowed the second-most yards in the NFL last season.
New England Patriots
7-10
The Jets added Aaron Rodgers this offseason, which puts the Patriots in a position they aren’t used to: being the fourth-best team in the AFC East. While the addition of JuJu Smith-Schuster helps the offense, there are still too many questions about Mac Jones, and the Patriots looked destined to finish under .500 again this season. Jones just isn’t the kind of quarterback who can raise the floor of a roster like this.
New Orleans Saints
10-7
The Saints went 7-10 last year, with inconsistency at quarterback leading to the team finishing 22nd in scoring offense. That should change this year though, as the team acquired Derek Carr in the offseason. While Carr isn’t an elite quarterback, he’s still a major improvement over the duo of Andy Dalton and Jameis Winston that the Saints went with in 2022. Add in that the team has finished as a top-10 defense in both points and yards allowed for three straight seasons and you have a team that should be the clear favorites in the weakened NFC South.
New York Giants
8-9
The Giants went 9-7-1 last year, making the playoffs for the first time since 2016. But was Daniel Jones’ improvement real, or just a bit of a fluke? It’s hard to answer that until we see what he looks like this year, but it’s probably safest to bet on a little regression from the Giants, especially in a division with the Eagles and Cowboys in it. But who knows—this feels like one of the more volatile teams in terms of 2023 outcomes, and adding corner Deonte Banks in the first round might fix some issues that the G-Men have on defense.
New York Jets
13-4
The Jets went 7-10 last year, but the defense played pretty well. It was just that the team had a major question mark at the most important position: quarterback. The addition of Aaron Rodgers helps solve that, and the team also brought in Allen Lazard to give Rodgers a familiar weapon. If Breece Hall is healthy, this can be one of the NFL’s top offenses.
Philadelphia Eagles
13-4
The defending NFC champions should make another run at the Super Bowl in 2023 behind the stellar play of quarterback Jalen Hurts. The Eagles finished last year third in points and yardage offensively and were also a top-10 defense in points and yards allowed. They also had a really good draft, adding Jalen Carter, Nolan Smith, Sidney Brown and Kelee Ringo to the defense to help improve a unit that was already very good in 2022.
Pittsburgh Steelers
5-12
Could this be the year that things fall apart for the Steelers? It’ll depend on the play of quarterback Kenny Pickett, who threw just seven touchdowns in 13 games as a rookie. The Steelers finished with the seventh-fewest points in the NFL and their expected record based on points for and allowed was closer to 7-10. We’re expecting Pickett to continue to struggle in his second NFL campaign.
San Francisco 49ers
14-3
The 49ers won 13 games last season despite a seventh-round rookie making five starts at quarterback. It’s not clear who will start at the position in 2023, but it might not really matter, because that player will be surrounded by offensive talent, like wide receiver Deebo Samuel and running back Christian McCaffrey. On defense, the Niners made a big move by signing defensive tackle Javon Hargrave, adding him to a defense that allowed the fewest points and yards in the NFL last year.
Seattle Seahawks
12-5
A resurgent Geno Smith helped make the transition away from Russell Wilson smooth last season, which earned Smith a contract extension. The Seahawks also added some good defensive talent in free agency, bringing in Dre’Mont Jones, Jarran Reed, Devin Bush, Julian Love and Bobby Wagner, and drafting wide receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba gives Seattle a fearsome receiving trio with him, DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
4-13
With Tom Brady gone, the Buccaneers will start either Baker Mayfield or Kyle Trask at quarterback. Whichever they go with, he won’t be able to smooth over the issues the team has nearly as well as Tom Brady did. Sure, Mike Evans and Chris Godwin are a dangerous receiving duo, but there are just too many holes elsewhere on this roster to think the Bucs can compete this season.
Tennessee Titans
5-12
The big question for Tennessee? How long will Ryan Tannehill be under center before the team moves onto Will Levis. With a fairly poor receiving unit and rumors that the team moves on from Derrick Henry at some point this summer, 2023 projects to be a pretty rough year for the Titans. It doesn’t help that the defense allowed the 10th-most yards last season.
Washington Commanders
3-14
The Commanders are poised to turn to 2022 fifth-round pick Sam Howell at quarterback this season. Howell’s an intriguing prospect, but there are bound to be growing pains for the Commanders, especially in a tough NFC East. The team did add some talent in the defensive backfield in the draft though, but defense was already the team’s strong suit last season, and not adding skill position players gives this team one of the lowest offensive floors in the league.
The Best Way to Watch the NFL
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