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North Carolina vs Louisville Betting Preview: Point Spread, Moneylines, Over/Under | February 21

The Louisville Cardinals (12-14, 6-10 ACC) are heavy underdogs (by 11 points) to stop a five-game road losing streak when they visit the North Carolina Tar Heels (19-8, 11-5 ACC) on Monday, February 21, 2022 at 7:00 PM ET. The matchup has an over/under of 145.5 points.

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North Carolina vs. Louisville Game Time and Odds

  • Game Day: Monday, February 21, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Location: Chapel Hill, North Carolina
  • Arena: Dean Smith Center
  • Spread: North Carolina (-11)
  • Total: 145.5

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North Carolina Betting Stats and Trends

  • North Carolina has covered the spread 12 times over 27 games with a set spread.
  • The Tar Heels are just 2-7 ATS when playing as at least 11-point favorites.
  • North Carolina’s games have gone over the total 16 times this season.
  • A total of 16 times so far this season, North Carolina and its opponent have combined for more than 145.5 points.
  • Tar Heels games have had an average of 148.2 points this season, 2.7 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
  • The Tar Heels score 77.8 points per game, 8.5 more points than the 69.3 the Cardinals give up.
  • North Carolina has an 11-8-1 record against the spread and a 17-4 record overall when scoring more than 69.3 points.
  • The Tar Heels are shooting 45.6% from the field this season, 3.1 percentage points higher than the 42.5% the Cardinals allow to opponents.
  • North Carolina is 11-6-1 against the spread and 16-3 overall when it shoots higher than 42.5% from the field.

Louisville Betting Stats and Trends

  • Louisville has put together a record of 8-17-1 against the spread this season.
  • Louisville games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 10 times this season.
  • So far this year, eight Louisville games have featured over 145.5 points scored.
  • The over/under for this game is 6.3 points higher than the average scoring total for Cardinals games (139.2).
  • The Cardinals score an average of 68.3 points per game, only 4.1 fewer points than the 72.4 the Tar Heels give up.
  • When it scores more than 72.4 points, Louisville is 3-4 against the spread and 6-1 overall.
  • Louisville has put together a 4-4-1 record against the spread and a 7-2 straight up record in games it shoots higher than 43.3% from the field.

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North Carolina vs. Louisville Statistics and Rankings

North Carolina Rank North Carolina Stat Louisville Stat Louisville Rank
33rd 77.8 Points Scored 68.3 254th
271st 72.4 Points Allowed 69.3 193rd
69th 14.7 Assists 12.2 236th
218th 11.7 Turnovers 11.8 209th
93rd 45.6% Field Goal % 42.1% 275th
195th 43.3% Field Goal % Allowed 42.5% 145th

North Carolina vs. Louisville Recent Trends

North Carolina

  • North Carolina has a 8-2 record straight-up in its past 10 matchups, while covering the spread five times in those games.
  • The final score of the past 10 North Carolina games has exceeded the set total eight times.
  • The past 10 Tar Heels games averaged one more point (146.5) than this matchup’s over/under.
  • During the past 10 games, the Tar Heels are scoring 0.4 points less per game compared to their season average.


  • Louisville covered the spread three times in its past 10 matchups while putting up a 2-8 record straight-up in those games.
  • The final scores of the last 10 Louisville games have exceeded the set total three times.
  • The last 10 Cardinals games averaged 137.8 total points, 7.7 fewer points than this matchup’s over/under.
  • The Cardinals’ per-game scoring average during their past 10 games is 64.9, 3.4 points lower than their season-long per-game average.

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